Президент США Дональд Трамп в пятницу заявил, что США дополнительно отправят на Средний Восток около 1,5 тыс. военнослужащих.
#По его словам, граждане и интересы США на Среднем Востоке нуждаются в защите, Вашингтон разместит там сравнительно небольшие "оборонительные" силы.
#Исполняющий обязанности министра обороны США Патрик Шанахан в пятницу в соцсетях сообщил, что Пентагон уже уведомил Конгресс об этом плане. По его словам, военнослужащие будут размещены в зоне оперативной ответственности Центрального командования ВС США в ответ на "угрозы со стороны Ирана". #Как сообщает иранский телеканал "Пресс ТВ", Корпус "стражей исламской революции" /КСИР/ в пятницу заявил, что направление Вашингтоном дополнительных сил на Средний Восток является лишь пропагандистским шагом, нацеленным на увеличение общественного давления, и не заставит Иран отступить.
Oil rose towards $69 a barrel on Friday after two sessions of losses but remained on track for its biggest weekly drop of the year, pressured by rising inventories and concern over an economic slowdown.
U.S. crude inventories rose to their highest since July 2017, suggesting ample supplies in the world’s top consumer, with prices also hit by worries that the U.S.-China trade conflict is developing into a more entrenched dispute. “Clearly, bargain hunters are back in town,” Naeem Aslam, chief market analyst at TF Global Markets, said of the bounce. “However, it is still set to record the worst week of the year and this is due to the increase in trade war tensions between the U.S. and China.” Brent crude, the global benchmark, rose 75 cents to $68.51 a barrel by 1341 GMT but remained on course for a weekly decline of about 5%. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude added 79 cents to $58.70.
Even so, supply cuts - both voluntary and those resulting from U.S. sanctions - kept a floor under prices and some analysts expect the market to recover. “It is reasonable to doubt whether Saudi Arabia will be willing to step up its output given the latest decline in prices,” analysts at Commerzbank said. “We therefore expect to see higher oil prices again in the near future.” The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies including Russia, an alliance known as OPEC+, have been cutting supply since January to tighten the market and prop up prices.
U.S. sanctions on the oil industries of Iran and Venezuela, both OPEC members, have curbed their crude exports, reducing supplies further than envisaged in the OPEC+ deal.
Brent’s price structure remains in backwardation, with prices for prompt delivery higher than those for later dispatch, suggesting a tight balance between supply and demand.
UBS kept a forecast for Brent to again reach $75 this month for a 2019 high, citing tighter supplies. “Compliance of OPEC and its allies to the production cut deal remains high, while production from Ir ...
Crude oil futures trade through the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME Group). There are several types of crude oil, and contracts, which can be traded. There is a (Light Sweet) Crude Oil Futures Contract (CL) which represents 1,000 barrels of oil, and an E-Mini Crude Oil Futures Contract (QM), which represents 500 barrels of oil.
En 10 años Venezuela pasó del cuarto al décimo lugar de países productores de crudo.
En menos de 20 años, la extracción de crudo local pasó de un tope de 3,2 millones de barriles/día a un mínimo de 740.000 b/d.
Cada día Venezuela pierde espacio en el mercado petrolero internacional por la caída abrupta de su producción de crudo, que ya ronda los 760.000 barriles por día y se proyecta que para final de año se desplome hasta los 500.000 barriles/día, de acuerdo con un trabajo publicado por el diario Panorama.
Los datos de la propia Organización de Países Exportadores de Petróleo (OPEP) indican que, en 2009, Venezuela ocupaba el cuarto lugar (con un bombeo de 2,45 millones b/d) entre las principales potencias productoras de crudo dentro del ente. Las cifras más recientes indican que la nación con las mayores reservas petroleras del mundo ocupa la casilla número 10, de una lista de 14 países. Un retroceso de seis puestos en una década y algo inusual en un país petrolero que no está en conflicto bélico.
The Trump administration keen to tout their record on keeping oil prices low in spite of the geopolitics but could they have managed it without OPEC+ ?! Plus, can we please talk about Pompeo 2024? @cnbcinternational@bsullivan3207#oott
Oil Gets Hammered 🛢️ The #oil market seesaw dropped with a bang as yesterday prices plummeted in response to reports of record US inventories that sent investors into sell-off mode. Never a dull moment in the oil markets!
The frenzy was ignited on Wednesday when reports emerged that inventories were hitting their highest levels since July 2017. The build up has so far been blamed on weak refinery demand and a massive 100,000 barrels per day (bpd) increase in output to reach a total of 12.2 bpd. That’s quite some increase.
Until recently, prices have been supported on the supply-side by escalating tensions with #Iran , and commitments from #OPEC + to continue with production cuts. However, the return of the trade war has brought back the spectre of a weakening global demand environment with a serious bang.
#WTI oil is still currently holding its range from $65-$60. However, after this week’s 3% decline, investors are beginning to consider the possibility of more weakness if global demand-side conditions continue to deteriorate and the US continues to pump at record levels.
Who doesn’t love a little oil market volatility to keep things interesting though?
4 3223 May, 2019
Los Factores que afectan el precio del Barril de Petroleo: - Decisiones de la OPEP
- Relación demanda - Suministro - Condiciones geopoliticas de los paises productores. - Especulación financiera.
WASHINGTON, May 22 (Reuters) – Turkey stopped purchasing Iranian oil as of May as U.S. waivers granted last November to eight buyers expired, and will continue to abide by Washington’s demand that it halt all imports of crude oil from the Islamic Republic, a senior Turkish official said on Wednesday. “We are not getting any oil from Iran now,” said the official, who spoke on condition of anonymity. “We were one of the eight countries getting an exception from those sanctions, and now we are ready to abide by them,” he said.
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1 4523 May, 2019
Los Factores que afectan el precio del Barril de Petroleo:
- Decisiones de la OPEP
- Relación demanda - Suministro - Condiciones geopoliticas de los paises productores. - Especulación financiera.
Oil prices plunged 5% Thursday in this year's worst drop and the worst fall since the start of OPEC production cuts in December. The escalating U.S.-China trade war and huge crude pileups from weak refiner demand combined to roil the market.
West Texas Intermediate futures, the benchmark for U.S. crude, fell below key $60 per barrel support, trading down $3.14 , or 5.1%, at $58.28 per barrel by 11:15 AM ET (15:15 GMT)
Las fuentes secundarias reportaron una producción de 768 mbd en abril de 2019, 28 mbd más que en marzo. De acuerdo con las fuentes oficiales, la producción fue de 1.037 mbd den abril, un aumento de 77 mbd con respecto al mes previo.
La diferencia entre las cifras reportadas por las fuentes oficiales y las secundarias fue de 269 mbd en abril. La brecha entre lo reportado por ambas fuentes se redujo 20%.
Puede consultar nuestro reporte completo sobre el mercado petrolero, ingresando al link en nuestra bio.
Oil prices fell on Wednesday after industry data showed an increase in U.S. crude inventories and on demand concerns linked to a protracted trade war between China and the United States.
However, analysts said oil markets remained tight amid supply cuts by producer group OPEC and allies such as Russia, and as political tension escalates in the Middle East.
Brent crude futures were down 41 cents at $71.77 a barrel by 1339 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures for July delivery were down 67 cents at $62.46. “Neither renewed Middle East tensions nor possibly extended OPEC+ output cuts have managed to bump crude oil from its tight range. The reasons? Growing worries about the impact of the trade war on global economic growth as well as a stubbornly strong dollar,” said SaxoBank’s Ole Hansen.
In a trade war between China and the United States, no further talks between top officials have been scheduled since the last round ended in a stalemate on May 10.
The conflict is weighing on economic growth forecasts and with that, oil demand predictions. The Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) on Tuesday revised down its global growth forecast for the year.
PVM’s Stephen Brennock said with the fragile balance in the market, any fresh development between the United States and Iran on the one hand and the United States and China on the other has the “potential to send prices $10 a barrel in either direction.” Adding to bearish factors, industry body American Petroleum Institute (API) said on Tuesday that U.S. crude stockpiles rose by 2.4 million barrels last week.
Official data from the U.S Energy Information Administration’s oil stockpiles report is due at 1430 GMT. Analysts polled by Reuters estimated, on average, that crude inventories fell 600,000 barrels in the week to May 17.
Beyond market fundamentals, oil traders are looking to the tensions between the United States and Iran. On Tuesday, acting U.S. Defense Secretary Patrick Shanahan ...
The International Monetary Fund (IMF), the organization of petroleum exporting countries (OPEC), and world data and analytics group, Globaldata, are hopeful that the new refinery being built by Dangote oil refining company will boost future capacity of global crude oil refining.
Dangote Group is constructing an integrated 650,000 barrels per day single-train crude oil refinery in the #Lekki Free Zone in Lagos.
While #OPEC in the current edition of its world #oil outlook expects the #Dangote refinery to drive world crude oil refining capacity increase in Africa by 2020, Globaldata says, with more than a hundred fifty mega refineries, including Dangote’s coming on stream, global investments in #crude oil refining facilities will rise exponentially.
It is forecast that once the Dangote #refinery starts operations, it will improve Nigeria’s #trade balance by ten billion #dollars per year.
Straight out of the old school of "bigger is better," this 1974 Mercury Marquis #Brougham is from the very apogee of the land yacht era, although it wasn’t a happy year for big cars. In an effort to further differentiate them from Fords, the big Mercs of 1969 were redesigned into a cleaner, more Lincoln-like machine which was enlarged and given more elaborate trim for 1971 and again for 1973 when the big cars sprouted gigantic 5-mph impact bumpers.
They looked gigantic. The low, tight greenhouse made the hood and deck look like aircraft carrier landing strips and the fender skirts produced a long uninterrupted bodyside - 226.7 inches (5.76M) of steel slab. A true #LandYacht , powered by the 460 V8. It was no surprise then, that events in the fall of 1973, era defining, took a huge bite out of sales. The ’74s were little changed from 1973 in that they’d just been updated, but sales were down by more than 50% for the year.
The OPEC embargo had multiple origins - the Nixon economic shock; the decline of domestic oil production as demand increased (Eisenhower-imposed quotas kept prices low but led to production declines, Nixon ended them); the strengthening of OPEC in the the late 1960s; and the immediate cause - the political fallout of the Yom Kippur War which led to the embargo. The Nixon shock and limited supply were a one-two punch, with gas prices rising 20% year over year.
We’ve had two serious fuel shocks since 2007, but in 1973/74 this was unprecedented, and it coincided with serious economic turmoil (wage and price controls, stagflation, global recession). Supply was restored, but prices only softened a little. All of the Big 3 were caught out with huge cars that were now scarily thirsty. But there was still a market for such cars - the #Brougham was the best seller of the big Mercs in ’74 and in 1975 the low-level Monterey was dropped in favor of a top-line #GrandMarquis .
By 1977, big Mercury sales recovered almost entirely, but the days were numbered for the very largest cars. The replacements for these big cars, the Panthers, bowed in late 1978. The Grand Marquis survived three more fuel spikes, and was the last Mercury built in 2011.
Being recognized as one of the top “100 personalities that transform Africa" is a great milestone.
Congratulations Boss @njayuk Business lawyer @njayuk shook African coconut tree in 2017 with his book " #BigBarrels ". He is the #CEO of #CenturionLawGroup , one of the few African firms involved in oil contracts. In 2017, he accompanied Equatorial Guinea in its membership of #OPEC . https://t.co/kpAHPhBTUm
0 1,11318 December, 2017
حدود ٩ ماه پيش در نوشته اي توضيح داديم كه اصولا داستان خروج آمريكا از #برجام هيچ ارتباط خاصي به فعاليت هاي موشكي ايران ندارد و انگيزه اصلي #ترامپ از اين اقدام، بازارسازي براي #نفت توليد آمريكا به هزينه كاهش سهم بازار ايران مي باشد. (رجوع شود به مقاله "مشتري دزدي آمريكايي ها") امروز #رويترز گزارش داده كه به طور روزافزوني نفت ايران - و اخيرا #ونزوئلا - در حال جايگزين شدن با نفت آمريكاست به طوري كه در ماه ژانويه صادرات نفت آمريكا به اروپا با رشدي قابل توجه به ٦٣٠ هزار بشكه در روز رسيده كه باعث مي شود آمريكا با سبقت از نيجريه و ليبي، تنها روسيه و عراق را جلوي خود ببيند. اين روند رو به رشد ارزيابي مي شود چرا كه از يكسو توليد روزانه نفت در آمريكا صعودي است و سال جاري به بيش از ١٢ ميليون بشكه خواهدرسيد و از سوي ديگر مقررات جديد زيست محيطي اروپا باعث گرايش بيشتر اروپاييها براي واردات نفت سبك مي شود كه عملا فضا را براي آمريكاييها فراهم تر خواهدكرد.
اين در حالي است كه از سال ٢٠١٦ #اوپك و متحدين نفتي اش توليد خود را كاهش داده اند كه در كنار افزايش قيمت نفت، باعث كاهش سهم بازار اين كشورها به سود آمريكاييها شده است.
در چنين شرايطي طبيعي است كه انتظار داشته باشيم نهايتا روسها از اين اتحاد نفتي بيهوده كنار بكشند و آن روز قيمت نفت دوباره به سمت زير ٣٠ دلار در هر بشكه حركت خواهدكرد.